AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN BEARS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
GOLDEN BEARS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
β² Edge: +57.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
WNWENG By 1-7 points
0.0%
WNWENG By 8-14 points
0.0%
UVM By 1-7 points
0.0%
UVM By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western New England
56
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND
Vermont
113
VERMONT
Simulated Score
Western New England
53
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND
Vermont
92
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+29)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
WNWENG @ UVM
68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+325.6% more
Vermont: 5.7
vs
Western New England: 1.3
Rebounding (L5)
+38.9% more
Vermont: 38.0
vs
Western New England: 27.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.6%
Vermont: 70.3%
vs
Western New England: 48.7%
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
Vermont: 10.5
vs
Western New England: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WNWENG Score
56.0
68
UVM Score
113.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 22.0
38.0 / 43.0
Assists
10.5 / 9.7
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.7 / 1.3
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 36.0
52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 48.7
63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 27.3
37.0 / 24.0
Steals
2.4 / 6.3
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 21.0
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
π Win-Loss
WNWENG
--
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
π― ATS (Spread)
WNWENG
--
UVM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
βοΈ Over/Under
WNWENG
--
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
WNWENG
UVM
WNWENG
ML
56%
19-15
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
TTL
47%
16-18
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0