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GEORGIAN COURT

LIONSGCTU

0-0  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Kaplan Arena
View Odds Details →

WILLIAM & MARY

TRIBEW&M

1-0  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
TRIBE
0%
LIONS --
TRIBE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (William & Mary)
LionsGCTU (-3.5) 0 TribeW&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

6.7%

Tribe Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around W&M -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)

GCTU By 1-7 points

4.8%

GCTU By 8-14 points

1.1%

W&M By 1-7 points

15.3%

W&M By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
65
GEORGIAN COURT
80
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
57
GEORGIAN COURT
88
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tribe Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tribe Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tribe (+157.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Tribe (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 GCTU @ W&M 63 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +85.8% more
William & Mary: 15.1 vs Georgian Court: 8.1
Steals (L5) +11.6% more
William & Mary: 8.9 vs Georgian Court: 8.0
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
William & Mary: 42.8% vs Georgian Court: 36.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
William & Mary: 35.3% vs Georgian Court: 28.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GCTU Score 65.0 63
W&M Score 80.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 28.7 39.0 / 20.0
Assists 15.1 / 8.1 27.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.1 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 36.0 64.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 78.5 68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 31.2 52.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.9 / 8.0 10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 18.9 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GCTU
--
W&M Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GCTU
--
W&M Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GCTU
--
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
GCTU
W&M
GCTU
ML
55% 17-14
50% 1-1
61% 19-12
100% 2-0
ATS
63% 19-11-1
50% 1-1
61% 19-12
100% 2-0
TTL
61% 19-12
0% 0-2
100% 31-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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