Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Owls PANE @ KENN

PAINE

LIONSPANE

0-0  |  Road

29
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
KSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

1-0  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
LIONS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kennesaw State)
LionsPANE (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

4.5%

Owls Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

PANE By 1-7 points

3.3%

PANE By 8-14 points

0.6%

KENN By 1-7 points

12.2%

KENN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
71
PAINE
88
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
58
PAINE
92
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (+13) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.0 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u137.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 PANE @ KENN 29 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +50.8% more
Kennesaw State: 13.6 vs Paine: 9.0
Blocks (L5) +49.3% more
Kennesaw State: 4.5 vs Paine: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +47.0% more
Kennesaw State: 35.3 vs Paine: 24.0
Free Throw % (L5) +8.2%
Kennesaw State: 79.2% vs Paine: 71.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PANE Score 71.0 29
KENN Score 88.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 32.0 47.0 / 9.0
Assists 13.6 / 9.0 22.0 / 4.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 38.0 54.0 / 16.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 71.0 70.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 24.0 63.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 12.0 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PANE
--
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PANE
--
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PANE
--
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
PANE
KENN
PANE
ML
74% 25-9
100% 1-0
72% 23-9
100% 1-0
ATS
71% 24-10
100% 1-0
73% 24-9
100% 1-0
TTL
56% 19-15
0% 0-1
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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