Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Shock @ Spartans WASHADV @ NORF

WASHINGTON ADVENTIST

SHOCKWASHADV

0-0  |  Road

76
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Joseph G. Echols Hall
View Odds Details →

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

1-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCK
50%
📊
SPARTANS
50%
SHOCK --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Norfolk State)
ShockWASHADV (-3.5) 0 SpartansNORF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Shock Cover

0.0%

Spartans Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NORF -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)

WASHADV By 1-7 points

0.0%

WASHADV By 8-14 points

0.0%

NORF By 1-7 points

0.1%

NORF By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
49
WASHINGTON ADVENTIST
87
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
56
WASHINGTON ADVENTIST
88
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 136
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 WASHADV @ NORF 76 - 98
Jan 20, 2025 WASHADV @ NORF 42 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +232.0% more
Norfolk State: 3.3 vs Washington Adventist: 1.0
Steals (L5) +38.2% more
Norfolk State: 6.8 vs Washington Adventist: 4.9
Assists (L5) +11.7% more
Norfolk State: 12.4 vs Washington Adventist: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5) +10.9%
Norfolk State: 46.3% vs Washington Adventist: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WASHADV Score 49.0 76
NORF Score 87.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.7 / 30.4 29.0 / 31.0
Assists 12.4 / 11.1 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.0 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 35.3 52.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 69.4 76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 38.6 39.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.8 / 4.9 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 13.0 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASHADV
--
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASHADV
--
NORF Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WASHADV
--
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
WASHADV
NORF
WASHADV
ML
67% 20-10
-- 0-0
71% 20-8
-- 0-0
ATS
63% 19-11
-- 0-0
72% 21-8
100% 2-0
TTL
60% 18-12
-- 0-0
100% 29-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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