SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
0-1 | Road
58
OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
1-0 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
REBELS
0%
LIONS
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Ole Miss)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)
SELA By 1-7 points
15.3%
SELA By 8-14 points
5.8%
MISS By 1-7 points
26.2%
MISS By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
SE Louisiana
82
SE LOUISIANA
Ole Miss
89
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
SE Louisiana
62
SE LOUISIANA
Ole Miss
78
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rebels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rebels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
SELA @ MISS
58 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.0% more
Ole Miss: 8.7
vs
SE Louisiana: 6.6
Assists (L5)
+18.6% more
Ole Miss: 12.4
vs
SE Louisiana: 10.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.7%
Ole Miss: 37.9%
vs
SE Louisiana: 25.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Ole Miss: 45.4%
vs
SE Louisiana: 40.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SELA Score
82.0
58
MISS Score
89.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 25.2
32.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.4 / 10.4
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.9
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 40.6
52.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
79.2 / 74.7
83.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 35.9
44.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.6
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 9.1
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
Advantage
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
SELA
MISS
SELA
ML
48%
16-17
70%
21-9
52%
17-16
66%
19-10
ATS
61%
20-13
60%
18-12
52%
17-16
67%
20-10
TTL
64%
21-12
70%
21-9
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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