Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Mavericks UNTD @ UTA

UNT DALLAS

TRAILBLAZERSUNTD

0-0  |  Road

40
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
College Park Center
View Odds Details →

UT ARLINGTON

MAVERICKSUTA

1-0  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
📊
MAVERICKS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS --
MAVERICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
UT ARLINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (UT Arlington)
TrailblazersUNTD (-3.5) 0 MavericksUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

0.0%

Mavericks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTA -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

UNTD By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNTD By 8-14 points

0.0%

UTA By 1-7 points

0.4%

UTA By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
56
UNT DALLAS
90
UT ARLINGTON
Simulated Score
57
UNT DALLAS
88
UT ARLINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mavericks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mavericks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mavericks (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Mavericks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 UNTD @ UTA 40 - 91
Nov 4, 2024 UNTD @ UTA 55 - 90
Dec 6, 2023 UNTD @ UTA 37 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +57.3% more
UT Arlington: 13.9 vs UNT Dallas: 8.9
Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
UT Arlington: 43.7% vs UNT Dallas: 35.5%
Steals (L5) +34.5% more
UNT Dallas: 6.7 vs UT Arlington: 4.4
Free Throw % (L5) +20.0%
UNT Dallas: 72.5% vs UT Arlington: 52.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNTD Score 56.0 40
UTA Score 90.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 34.3 12.0 / 13.0
Assists 13.9 / 8.9 21.0 / 2.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.9 10.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 35.5 50.0 / 18.0
Free Throw % 52.5 / 72.5 70.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 33.5 59.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.4 / 6.7 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 15.6 13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNTD
--
UTA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNTD
--
UTA Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNTD
--
UTA
7-23-0
O: 23.3% / U: 76.7% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
UNTD
UTA
UNTD
ML
50% 16-16
100% 1-0
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
62% 20-12
100% 1-0
TTL
53% 17-15
100% 1-0
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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