AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARMY -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
SM By 1-7 points
0.0%
SM By 8-14 points
0.0%
ARMY By 1-7 points
0.0%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
SUNY-Maritime
47
SUNY-MARITIME
Army
92
ARMY
Simulated Score
SUNY-Maritime
50
SUNY-MARITIME
Army
85
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
SM @ ARMY
49 - 73
Nov 26, 2024
SM @ ARMY
52 - 91
Dec 1, 2023
SM @ ARMY
39 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.9% more
Army: 6.7
vs
SUNY-Maritime: 5.2
Rebounding (L5)
+22.4% more
Army: 34.0
vs
SUNY-Maritime: 27.8
Blocks (L5)
+11.5% more
Army: 1.7
vs
SUNY-Maritime: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+10.2% more
Army: 11.6
vs
SUNY-Maritime: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SM Score
47.0
49
ARMY Score
92.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 21.2
27.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.6 / 10.6
17.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.7 / 1.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
37.8 / 31.8
39.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
64.0 / 65.8
50.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 27.8
45.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.2
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 18.2
11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SM
--
ARMY
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SM
--
ARMY
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SM
--
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
SM
ARMY
SM
ML
44%
14-18
100%
2-0
50%
16-16
100%
2-0
ATS
44%
14-18
100%
2-0
50%
16-16
100%
2-0
TTL
81%
26-6
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0