Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Salukis MAN @ SIU

MCKENDREE

BEARCATSMAN

0-0  |  Road

42
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Banterra Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

SALUKISSIU

1-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
📊
SALUKIS
0%
BEARCATS --
SALUKIS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Southern Illinois)
BearcatsMAN (-3.5) 0 SalukisSIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

21.2%

Salukis Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)

MAN By 1-7 points

13.7%

MAN By 8-14 points

4.8%

SIU By 1-7 points

25.3%

SIU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
87
MCKENDREE
95
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
58
MCKENDREE
82
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Salukis Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Salukis Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Salukis (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Salukis (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.0 Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim u147.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MAN @ SIU 42 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +39.7% more
Southern Illinois: 2.6 vs McKendree: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +22.9% more
Southern Illinois: 34.1 vs McKendree: 27.8
Free Throw % (L5) +11.3%
Southern Illinois: 62.9% vs McKendree: 51.7%
Assists (L5) +9.2% more
Southern Illinois: 13.5 vs McKendree: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MAN Score 87.0 42
SIU Score 95.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 38.9 27.0 / 23.0
Assists 13.5 / 12.3 20.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.6 / 1.9 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 47.9 49.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 62.9 / 51.7 58.0 / 41.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 27.8 51.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.0 / 7.6 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 21.4 12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
--
SIU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
--
SIU Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
--
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
MAN
SIU
MAN
ML
53% 17-15
100% 1-0
47% 15-17
100% 1-0
ATS
56% 18-14
100% 1-0
47% 15-17
100% 1-0
TTL
53% 17-15
0% 0-1
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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