EVANGEL
CRUSADERSEVA
0-0 | Road
74
KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
1-0 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
ROOS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
ROOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-60.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +60.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KC -60.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
EVA By 1-7 points
0.0%
EVA By 8-14 points
0.0%
KC By 1-7 points
0.0%
KC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Evangel
46
EVANGEL
Kansas City
106
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Evangel
54
EVANGEL
Kansas City
88
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Roos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Roos (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -60.0
D
Sim
Roos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
EVA @ KC
74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+95.0% more
Kansas City: 3.9
vs
Evangel: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+28.0% more
Kansas City: 11.5
vs
Evangel: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+22.9% more
Kansas City: 35.6
vs
Evangel: 29.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.3%
Kansas City: 72.3%
vs
Evangel: 58.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EVA Score
46.0
74
KC Score
106.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 21.0
37.0 / 19.0
Assists
11.5 / 9.0
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.0
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 33.0
46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 58.0
70.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 29.0
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.2 / 8.0
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.0
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EVA
--
KC
Advantage
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EVA
--
KC
Advantage
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EVA
--
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
EVA
KC
EVA
ML
63%
19-11
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
TTL
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
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