Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Hurricanes JAX @ MIA

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

0-1  |  Road

69
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Watsco Center
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

1-0  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
DOLPHINS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Miami)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

11.5%

Hurricanes Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

JAX By 1-7 points

8.0%

JAX By 8-14 points

2.2%

MIA By 1-7 points

20.1%

MIA By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
64
JACKSONVILLE
76
MIAMI
Simulated Score
71
JACKSONVILLE
78
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 JAX @ MIA 69 - 86
Dec 19, 2020 JAX @ MIA 64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +89.1% more
Miami: 5.0 vs Jacksonville: 2.7
Steals (L5) +11.4% more
Miami: 7.0 vs Jacksonville: 6.3
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Miami: 71.8% vs Jacksonville: 64.8%
Rebounding (L5) +17.2% more
Jacksonville: 36.3 vs Miami: 30.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 64.0 69
MIA Score 76.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 31.9 21.0 / 30.0
Assists 12.6 / 14.2 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.0 / 2.7 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 44.9 55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 64.8 78.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 36.3 35.0 / 20.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.3 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 13.2 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
JAX
MIA
JAX
ML
63% 22-13
74% 23-8
64% 21-12
60% 18-12
ATS
63% 22-13
65% 20-11
64% 21-12
61% 19-12
TTL
63% 22-13
65% 20-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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