AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
45%
FLAMES
55%
TITANS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
30%
Under 0
70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
DETM By 1-7 points
13.7%
DETM By 8-14 points
4.8%
UIC By 1-7 points
25.3%
UIC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
62
DETROIT MERCY
UIC
70
UIC
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
61
DETROIT MERCY
UIC
74
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
A
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.0
Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
B
Sim
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
DETM @ UIC
71 - 91
Jan 27, 2022
UIC @ DETM
67 - 80
Dec 5, 2021
DETM @ UIC
64 - 56
Feb 27, 2020
DETM @ UIC
67 - 84
Jan 25, 2020
UIC @ DETM
69 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.3% more
UIC: 3.8
vs
Detroit Mercy: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+26.2% more
UIC: 13.5
vs
Detroit Mercy: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+18.6% more
UIC: 6.5
vs
Detroit Mercy: 5.5
Turnovers (L5)
+26.3% more
Detroit Mercy: 15.9
vs
UIC: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
62.0
71
UIC Score
70.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 33.3
42.0 / 20.0
Assists
13.5 / 10.7
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.7
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
38.3 / 44.9
45.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 68.8
83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 34.3
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.5
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 15.9
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
DETM
UIC
DETM
ML
57%
20-15
58%
18-13
44%
15-19
50%
15-15
ATS
54%
19-16
61%
19-12
44%
15-19
50%
15-15
TTL
60%
21-14
61%
19-12
100%
34-0
100%
30-0