Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Mean Green NMHU @ UNT

NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS

COWBOYSNMHU

0-0  |  Road

54
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:30 PM ET
The Super Pit
View Odds Details →

NORTH TEXAS

MEAN GREENUNT

1-0  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
MEAN GREEN
0%
COWBOYS --
MEAN GREEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (North Texas)
CowboysNMHU (-3.5) 0 Mean GreenUNT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

11.5%

Mean Green Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNT -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)

NMHU By 1-7 points

8.0%

NMHU By 8-14 points

2.2%

UNT By 1-7 points

20.1%

UNT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS
81
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
48
NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS
85
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mean Green Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mean Green Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mean Green (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Mean Green (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 NMHU @ UNT 54 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +64.9% more
North Texas: 2.9 vs New Mexico Highlands: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +14.0% more
North Texas: 33.4 vs New Mexico Highlands: 29.3
Free Throw % (L5) +11.0%
North Texas: 74.2% vs New Mexico Highlands: 63.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.4%
North Texas: 37.4% vs New Mexico Highlands: 28.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NMHU Score 69.0 54
UNT Score 81.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 28.1 44.0 / 28.0
Assists 9.4 / 11.0 21.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.9 / 1.7 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 32.0 55.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 63.2 61.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 29.3 33.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.4 / 10.8 17.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 18.9 14.0 / 27.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NMHU
--
UNT Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NMHU
--
UNT Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NMHU
--
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
NMHU
UNT
NMHU
ML
70% 23-10
67% 2-1
59% 19-13
100% 3-0
ATS
52% 17-16
67% 2-1
59% 19-13
100% 3-0
TTL
67% 22-11
67% 2-1
100% 32-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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