UT PERMIAN BASIN
FALCONSTXPBAS
0-0 | Road
56
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
1-0 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
FALCONS
100%
MINERS
0%
FALCONS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (UTEP)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
TXPBAS By 1-7 points
0.0%
TXPBAS By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTEP By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UT Permian Basin
68
UT PERMIAN BASIN
UTEP
121
UTEP
Simulated Score
UT Permian Basin
57
UT PERMIAN BASIN
UTEP
88
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Miners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Miners (+16)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.0
Win
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim
u144.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
TXPBAS @ UTEP
56 - 98
Nov 12, 2024
TXPBAS @ UTEP
58 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.9% more
UTEP: 8.4
vs
UT Permian Basin: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.2%
UTEP: 31.9%
vs
UT Permian Basin: 16.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.1%
UTEP: 76.8%
vs
UT Permian Basin: 61.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
UTEP: 39.4%
vs
UT Permian Basin: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TXPBAS Score
68.0
56
UTEP Score
121.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 16.7
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
9.7 / 11.0
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 35.0
54.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 61.7
72.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 37.0
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.7
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 20.7
7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXPBAS
--
UTEP
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXPBAS
--
UTEP
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TXPBAS
--
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
TXPBAS
UTEP
TXPBAS
ML
70%
21-9
100%
1-0
72%
21-8
100%
1-0
ATS
57%
17-13
100%
1-0
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
TTL
60%
18-12
100%
1-0
100%
30-0
100%
1-0
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