AI Model Win Probability
GRIFFINS
50%
AGGIES
50%
GRIFFINS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
UTAH STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Utah State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USU)
WUH By 1-7 points
0.0%
WUH By 8-14 points
0.0%
USU By 1-7 points
0.0%
USU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Westminster (UT)
49
WESTMINSTER (UT)
Utah State
103
UTAH STATE
Simulated Score
Westminster (UT)
53
WESTMINSTER (UT)
Utah State
98
UTAH STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
152
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
o0.0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
WUH @ USU
54 - 110
Nov 13, 2024
WUH @ USU
53 - 117
Dec 15, 2022
WUH @ USU
68 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+62.4% more
Utah State: 6.8
vs
Westminster (UT): 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Utah State: 35.2
vs
Westminster (UT): 31.4
Turnovers (L5)
+45.9% more
Westminster (UT): 19.3
vs
Utah State: 10.4
Blocks (L5)
+35.6% more
Westminster (UT): 2.0
vs
Utah State: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WUH Score
49.0
54
USU Score
103.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 36.8
51.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.9 / 13.2
32.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.3 / 2.0
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
39.5 / 40.6
61.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 72.1
78.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 31.4
46.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.2
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 19.3
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WUH
--
USU
Advantage
29-7-0
(80.6%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WUH
--
USU
Advantage
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WUH
--
USU
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USU
WUH
USU
WUH
ML
49%
17-18
--
0-0
66%
21-11
--
0-0
ATS
74%
26-9
--
0-0
67%
22-11
100%
2-0
TTL
51%
18-17
--
0-0
100%
33-0
100%
2-0