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HAWAI'I PACIFIC

SEA WARRIORSHAWAIIPAC

0-0  |  Road

79
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:00 PM ET
ExtraMile Arena
View Odds Details →

BOISE STATE

BRONCOSBOIS

0-1  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
SEA WARRIORS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
SEA WARRIORS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
BOISE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Boise State)
Sea WarriorsHAWAIIPAC (-3.5) 0 BroncosBOIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sea Warriors Cover

1.4%

Broncos Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOIS -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOIS)

HAWAIIPAC By 1-7 points

1.1%

HAWAIIPAC By 8-14 points

0.1%

BOIS By 1-7 points

5.8%

BOIS By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
62
HAWAI'I PACIFIC
84
BOISE STATE
Simulated Score
57
HAWAI'I PACIFIC
88
BOISE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 HAWAIIPAC @ BOIS 79 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +78.8% more
Boise State: 14.8 vs Hawai'i Pacific: 8.3
Steals (L5) +51.6% more
Boise State: 7.2 vs Hawai'i Pacific: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5) +13.1%
Boise State: 83.4% vs Hawai'i Pacific: 70.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +8.4%
Boise State: 46.1% vs Hawai'i Pacific: 37.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAWAIIPAC Score 62.0 79
BOIS Score 84.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 31.8 30.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.8 / 8.3 21.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.4 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 37.7 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 83.4 / 70.3 92.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 32.1 40.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.2 / 4.7 3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 12.9 12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAWAIIPAC
--
BOIS Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAWAIIPAC
--
BOIS Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HAWAIIPAC
--
BOIS
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOIS
HAWAIIPAC
BOIS
HAWAIIPAC
ML
50% 16-16
50% 1-1
61% 19-12
50% 1-1
ATS
50% 16-16
100% 2-0
61% 19-12
50% 1-1
TTL
56% 18-14
100% 2-0
100% 31-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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