Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / War Hawks @ Wildcats MCM @ ACU

MCMURRY

WAR HAWKSMCM

0-0  |  Road

55
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Moody Coliseum (Abilene)
View Odds Details →

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

1-0  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
WAR HAWKS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
WAR HAWKS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Abilene Christian)
War HawksMCM (-3.5) 0 WildcatsACU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

War Hawks Cover

11.5%

Wildcats Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ACU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)

MCM By 1-7 points

8.0%

MCM By 8-14 points

2.2%

ACU By 1-7 points

20.1%

ACU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
MCMURRY
61
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
53
MCMURRY
88
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+26.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MCM @ ACU 55 - 92
Nov 12, 2024 MCM @ ACU 55 - 101
Nov 15, 2022 MCM @ ACU 46 - 104
Nov 27, 2021 MCM @ ACU 54 - 89
Dec 12, 2020 MCM @ ACU 46 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +142.6% more
Abilene Christian: 3.9 vs McMurry: 1.6
Assists (L5) +61.2% more
Abilene Christian: 14.7 vs McMurry: 9.1
Steals (L5) +46.4% more
Abilene Christian: 9.3 vs McMurry: 6.4
Rebounding (L5) +29.2% more
Abilene Christian: 38.4 vs McMurry: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MCM Score 49.0 55
ACU Score 61.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.2 / 27.1 30.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.7 / 9.1 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.6 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 33.6 49.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 68.4 69.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 29.7 56.0 / 32.0
Steals 9.3 / 6.4 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 16.9 / 21.8 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCM
--
ACU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCM
--
ACU Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MCM
--
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
MCM
ACU
MCM
ML
67% 22-11
100% 1-0
70% 23-10
100% 1-0
ATS
55% 18-15
100% 1-0
70% 23-10
100% 1-0
TTL
58% 19-14
0% 0-1
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 27 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 7 hours, 37 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 20 hours, 36 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago