LA SIERRA
GOLDEN EAGLESLSIU
0-0 | Road
49
UC RIVERSIDE
HIGHLANDERSUCR
1-0 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UC RIVERSIDE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (UC Riverside)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCR)
LSIU By 1-7 points
8.0%
LSIU By 8-14 points
2.2%
UCR By 1-7 points
20.1%
UCR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
La Sierra
75
LA SIERRA
UC Riverside
87
UC RIVERSIDE
Simulated Score
La Sierra
55
LA SIERRA
UC Riverside
92
UC RIVERSIDE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+157.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
LSIU @ UCR
49 - 90
Nov 14, 2024
LSIU @ UCR
51 - 79
Nov 14, 2021
LSIU @ UCR
54 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+32.9%
UC Riverside: 86.1%
vs
La Sierra: 53.2%
Blocks (L5)
+21.9% more
UC Riverside: 2.0
vs
La Sierra: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+18.9% more
UC Riverside: 14.1
vs
La Sierra: 11.9
Rebounding (L5)
+17.6% more
UC Riverside: 33.3
vs
La Sierra: 28.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSIU Score
75.0
49
UCR Score
87.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 29.1
32.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.1 / 11.9
20.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.6
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 34.7
45.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
86.1 / 53.2
85.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 28.3
44.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.4
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 14.7
5.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSIU
--
UCR
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSIU
--
UCR
Advantage
14-14-2
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LSIU
--
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCR
LSIU
UCR
LSIU
ML
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
75%
24-8
100%
1-0
ATS
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
75%
24-8
100%
1-0
TTL
66%
21-11
0%
0-1
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
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