CALTECH
CALTECHCATE
0-0 | Road
82
CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
1-0 | Home
136
AI Model Win Probability
CALTECH
100%
TITANS
0%
CALTECH
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUF -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)
CATE By 1-7 points
0.0%
CATE By 8-14 points
0.0%
CSUF By 1-7 points
0.1%
CSUF By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Caltech
44
CALTECH
Cal State Fullerton
83
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
Caltech
42
CALTECH
Cal State Fullerton
95
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (+21.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
CATE @ CSUF
82 - 136
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.0% more
Cal State Fullerton: 2.5
vs
Caltech: 2.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Cal State Fullerton: 28.1%
vs
Caltech: 19.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Cal State Fullerton: 36.9%
vs
Caltech: 29.0%
Steals (L5)
+57.2% more
Caltech: 6.0
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CATE Score
44.0
82
CSUF Score
83.0
136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 19.0
41.0 / 26.0
Assists
9.1 / 11.0
37.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.0
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
36.9 / 29.0
57.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 71.0
71.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 42.0
53.0 / 35.0
Steals
2.6 / 6.0
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 19.0
11.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CATE
--
CSUF
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CATE
--
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CATE
--
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
CATE
CSUF
CATE
ML
68%
23-11
100%
1-0
76%
26-8
100%
1-0
ATS
68%
23-11
100%
1-0
76%
26-8
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
20-14
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
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