AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
ANTEATERS
0%
FLAMES
--
ANTEATERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
BTHS By 1-7 points
0.0%
BTHS By 8-14 points
0.0%
UCI By 1-7 points
0.1%
UCI By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethesda University
63
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
UC Irvine
100
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
Bethesda University
44
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
UC Irvine
92
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
BTHS @ UCI
49 - 125
Dec 3, 2021
BTHS @ UCI
54 - 86
Nov 28, 2020
BTHS @ UCI
55 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.5% more
UC Irvine: 2.8
vs
Bethesda University: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+57.4% more
UC Irvine: 14.7
vs
Bethesda University: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+42.5% more
UC Irvine: 40.3
vs
Bethesda University: 28.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.8%
UC Irvine: 72.1%
vs
Bethesda University: 56.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score
63.0
49
UCI Score
100.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 23.5
42.0 / 23.0
Assists
14.7 / 9.4
34.0 / 3.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.8
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 32.9
61.0 / 24.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 56.3
64.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 28.3
67.0 / 22.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.9
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 15.3
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
UCI
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
UCI
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
BTHS
UCI
BTHS
ML
57%
20-15
100%
7-0
53%
18-16
100%
7-0
ATS
63%
22-13
100%
7-0
53%
18-16
100%
7-0
TTL
57%
20-15
71%
5-2
100%
34-0
100%
7-0