LA VERNE
LEOPARDSLAVERNE
0-0 | Road
73
UC SAN DIEGO
TRITONSUCSD
1-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
TRITONS
0%
LEOPARDS
--
TRITONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
UC SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (UC San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCSD -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCSD)
LAVERNE By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAVERNE By 8-14 points
0.0%
UCSD By 1-7 points
0.0%
UCSD By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
La Verne
52
LA VERNE
UC San Diego
109
UC SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
La Verne
47
LA VERNE
UC San Diego
98
UC SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tritons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tritons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tritons (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Tritons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
LAVERNE @ UCSD
73 - 105
Nov 30, 2024
LAVERNE @ UCSD
33 - 109
Nov 13, 2023
LAVERNE @ UCSD
57 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+64.2% more
UC San Diego: 2.0
vs
La Verne: 1.2
Assists (L5)
+63.9% more
UC San Diego: 14.4
vs
La Verne: 8.8
Steals (L5)
+37.1% more
UC San Diego: 7.2
vs
La Verne: 5.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+26.3%
UC San Diego: 74.7%
vs
La Verne: 48.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAVERNE Score
52.0
73
UCSD Score
109.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 26.1
40.0 / 37.0
Assists
14.4 / 8.8
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 27.2
52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 48.5
76.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 30.9
47.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.3
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 22.0
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAVERNE
--
UCSD
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAVERNE
--
UCSD
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAVERNE
--
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSD
LAVERNE
UCSD
LAVERNE
ML
56%
19-15
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
ATS
50%
17-17
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
TTL
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
