Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Pilots WLLMTT @ PORT

WILLAMETTE

BEARCATSWLLMTT

0-0  |  Road

83
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

1-0  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
50%
📊
PILOTS
50%
BEARCATS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Portland)
BearcatsWLLMTT (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

0.2%

Pilots Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PORT -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)

WLLMTT By 1-7 points

0.1%

WLLMTT By 8-14 points

0.0%

PORT By 1-7 points

1.4%

PORT By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
75
WILLAMETTE
104
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
51
WILLAMETTE
93
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 179
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim o154.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 WLLMTT @ PORT 83 - 120
Dec 16, 2024 WLLMTT @ PORT 69 - 100
Nov 25, 2023 WLLMTT @ PORT 84 - 107
Nov 11, 2021 WLLMTT @ PORT 78 - 122
Nov 5, 2019 WLLMTT @ PORT 36 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.6% more
Portland: 2.0 vs Willamette: 1.5
Assists (L5) +25.3% more
Portland: 17.1 vs Willamette: 13.6
Field Goal % (L5) +14.0%
Portland: 46.9% vs Willamette: 32.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Portland: 39.1% vs Willamette: 29.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WLLMTT Score 75.0 83
PORT Score 104.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.1 / 29.0 41.0 / 31.0
Assists 17.1 / 13.6 23.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.5 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 32.8 58.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 67.7 70.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 36.4 54.0 / 32.0
Steals 3.5 / 5.9 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 15.7 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WLLMTT
--
PORT Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WLLMTT
--
PORT Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WLLMTT
--
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
WLLMTT
PORT
WLLMTT
ML
48% 16-17
-- 0-0
82% 27-6
-- 0-0
ATS
67% 22-11
-- 0-0
82% 28-6
100% 1-0
TTL
55% 18-15
-- 0-0
100% 34-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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