Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mariners @ Pioneers MERCHMAR @ SHU

MERCHANT MARINE ACADEMY

MARINERSMERCHMAR

0-0  |  Road

46
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 7:00 PM ET
William H. Pitt Center
View Odds Details →

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

1-0  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
MARINERS --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Sacred Heart)
MarinersMERCHMAR (-3.5) 0 PioneersSHU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mariners Cover

24.2%

Pioneers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)

MERCHMAR By 1-7 points

15.3%

MERCHMAR By 8-14 points

5.8%

SHU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SHU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
55
MERCHANT MARINE ACADEMY
62
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
57
MERCHANT MARINE ACADEMY
88
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pioneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pioneers (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Pioneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 MERCHMAR @ SHU 46 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +61.6% more
Sacred Heart: 17.7 vs Merchant Marine Academy: 11.0
Rebounding (L5) +43.6% more
Sacred Heart: 41.9 vs Merchant Marine Academy: 29.2
Steals (L5) +17.4% more
Sacred Heart: 8.4 vs Merchant Marine Academy: 7.2
Blocks (L5) +16.5% more
Sacred Heart: 3.3 vs Merchant Marine Academy: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MERCHMAR Score 55.0 46
SHU Score 62.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 24.3 39.0 / 41.0
Assists 17.7 / 11.0 25.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.8 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 30.1 55.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 78.1 / 62.4 57.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 41.9 / 29.2 49.0 / 22.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.2 15.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 14.3 11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MERCHMAR
--
SHU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MERCHMAR
--
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MERCHMAR
--
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
MERCHMAR
SHU
MERCHMAR
ML
61% 20-13
100% 1-0
73% 24-9
100% 1-0
ATS
76% 25-8
100% 1-0
73% 24-9
100% 1-0
TTL
58% 19-14
0% 0-1
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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