ST. JOSEPH'S (NY)
BEARSSJNY
0-0 | Road
59
MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
1-0 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
50%
JASPERS
50%
BEARS
--
JASPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Manhattan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MAN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)
SJNY By 1-7 points
12.2%
SJNY By 8-14 points
4.0%
MAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
MAN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Joseph's (NY)
88
ST. JOSEPH'S (NY)
Manhattan
97
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
St. Joseph's (NY)
42
ST. JOSEPH'S (NY)
Manhattan
85
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Jaspers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
185
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
SJNY @ MAN
59 - 125
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJNY Score
88.0
59
MAN Score
97.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 0.0
42.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.8 / 0.0
31.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.5 / 0.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 0.0
59.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
80.6 / 0.0
77.0 / 46.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 0.0
57.0 / 23.0
Steals
5.2 / 0.0
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 0.0
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJNY
--
MAN
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJNY
--
MAN
Advantage
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SJNY
--
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
SJNY
MAN
SJNY
ML
52%
16-15
--
0-0
68%
21-10
--
0-0
ATS
52%
16-15
--
0-0
69%
22-10
100%
1-0
TTL
77%
24-7
--
0-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
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