DOMINICAN (CA)
PENGUINSDOMIN
0-0 | Road
79
SACRAMENTO STATE
HORNETSSAC
1-0 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
50%
HORNETS
50%
PENGUINS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SACRAMENTO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Sacramento State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
DOMIN By 1-7 points
4.8%
DOMIN By 8-14 points
1.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
15.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dominican (CA)
57
DOMINICAN (CA)
Sacramento State
72
SACRAMENTO STATE
Simulated Score
Dominican (CA)
58
DOMINICAN (CA)
Sacramento State
82
SACRAMENTO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
129
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
DOMIN @ SAC
79 - 103
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DOMIN Score
57.0
79
SAC Score
72.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 0.0
48.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.4 / 0.0
19.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.4 / 0.0
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 0.0
51.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 0.0
83.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
29.1 / 0.0
47.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.1 / 0.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 0.0
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DOMIN
--
SAC
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DOMIN
--
SAC
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DOMIN
--
SAC
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
DOMIN
SAC
DOMIN
ML
57%
17-13
--
0-0
87%
26-4
--
0-0
ATS
73%
22-8
--
0-0
87%
27-4
100%
2-0
TTL
60%
18-12
--
0-0
100%
31-0
100%
2-0
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