Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buccaneers @ Bengals PUGB @ IDST

PARK UNIVERSITY GILBERT

BUCCANEERSPUGB

0-0  |  Road

71
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Reed Gym
View Odds Details →

IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

1-0  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
📊
BENGALS
0%
BUCCANEERS --
BENGALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
IDAHO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Idaho State)
BuccaneersPUGB (-3.5) 0 BengalsIDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

0.0%

Bengals Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IDST -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDST)

PUGB By 1-7 points

0.0%

PUGB By 8-14 points

0.0%

IDST By 1-7 points

0.0%

IDST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
56
PARK UNIVERSITY GILBERT
111
IDAHO STATE
Simulated Score
55
PARK UNIVERSITY GILBERT
88
IDAHO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bengals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bengals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bengals (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim Bengals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 PUGB @ IDST 71 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +29.5%
Idaho State: 77.1% vs Park University Gilbert: 47.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +14.2%
Idaho State: 41.2% vs Park University Gilbert: 27.0%
Assists (L5) +8.9% more
Idaho State: 10.1 vs Park University Gilbert: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Idaho State: 25.6% vs Park University Gilbert: 23.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PUGB Score 56.0 71
IDST Score 111.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.6 / 23.9 24.0 / 52.0
Assists 10.1 / 9.3 15.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.8 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 27.0 44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 47.6 60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 37.0 42.0 / 21.0
Steals 4.8 / 5.6 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 17.6 7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PUGB
--
IDST Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PUGB
--
IDST Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PUGB
--
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDST
PUGB
IDST
PUGB
ML
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
72% 23-9
100% 1-0
ATS
50% 16-16
100% 1-0
72% 23-9
100% 1-0
TTL
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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