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CAROLINA UNIVERSITY

BRUINSCU

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46
FINAL
Wed, Nov 5 • 6:30 PM ET
Holmes Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

APP STATE

MOUNTAINEERSAPP

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92
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
BRUINS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
APP STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (App State)
BruinsCU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersAPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

4.5%

Mountaineers Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around APP -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APP)

CU By 1-7 points

3.3%

CU By 8-14 points

0.6%

APP By 1-7 points

12.2%

APP By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
51
CAROLINA UNIVERSITY
68
APP STATE
Simulated Score
56
CAROLINA UNIVERSITY
92
APP STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 5, 2025 CU @ APP 46 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +118.6% more
App State: 3.4 vs Carolina University: 1.6
Rebounding (L5) +41.9% more
App State: 34.6 vs Carolina University: 24.3
Assists (L5) +35.6% more
App State: 10.4 vs Carolina University: 7.7
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
App State: 36.9% vs Carolina University: 31.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CU Score 51.0 46
APP Score 68.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 29.6 27.0 / 28.0
Assists 10.4 / 7.7 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.6 10.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 36.9 / 31.9 52.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 59.1 / 66.3 62.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 24.3 47.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.0 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 23.0 10.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CU
--
APP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CU
--
APP Advantage
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CU
--
APP
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
APP
CU
APP
CU
ML
62% 20-12
100% 3-0
59% 19-13
100% 3-0
ATS
59% 19-13
100% 3-0
59% 19-13
100% 3-0
TTL
69% 22-10
67% 2-1
100% 32-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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