LYNCHBURG
HORNETSLYNCHBURG
0-0 | Road
76
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
1-1 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
ROYALS
0%
HORNETS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
108.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
LYNCHBURG By 1-7 points
5.8%
LYNCHBURG By 8-14 points
1.4%
QUC By 1-7 points
16.9%
QUC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Lynchburg
47
LYNCHBURG
Queens University
61
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Lynchburg
58
LYNCHBURG
Queens University
92
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 108.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
LYNCHBURG @ QUC
76 - 87
Nov 4, 2024
LYNCHBURG @ QUC
39 - 90
Nov 23, 2022
LYNCHBURG @ QUC
72 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.2% more
Queens University: 13.3
vs
Lynchburg: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.9%
Queens University: 46.8%
vs
Lynchburg: 32.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.3%
Queens University: 75.2%
vs
Lynchburg: 64.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Queens University: 32.9%
vs
Lynchburg: 22.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LYNCHBURG Score
47.0
76
QUC Score
61.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 22.9
38.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.3 / 11.3
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 32.9
50.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 64.9
57.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 34.0
37.0 / 46.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.0
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 18.3
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LYNCHBURG
--
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LYNCHBURG
--
QUC
Advantage
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LYNCHBURG
--
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
LYNCHBURG
QUC
LYNCHBURG
ML
71%
25-10
100%
1-0
71%
24-10
100%
1-0
ATS
86%
30-5
100%
1-0
71%
24-10
100%
1-0
TTL
47%
16-18-1
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
