LAGRANGE
PANTHERSLGC
0-0 | Road
62
MERCER
BEARSMER
1-1 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BEARS
0%
PANTHERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
MERCER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Mercer)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MER -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MER)
LGC By 1-7 points
0.1%
LGC By 8-14 points
0.0%
MER By 1-7 points
0.8%
MER By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LaGrange
70
LAGRANGE
Mercer
101
MERCER
Simulated Score
LaGrange
58
LAGRANGE
Mercer
92
MERCER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
LGC @ MER
62 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.3% more
Mercer: 36.8
vs
LaGrange: 31.7
Steals (L5)
+12.9% more
Mercer: 9.3
vs
LaGrange: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+10.8% more
Mercer: 2.6
vs
LaGrange: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Mercer: 36.2%
vs
LaGrange: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LGC Score
70.0
62
MER Score
101.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 31.5
33.0 / 15.0
Assists
9.5 / 11.4
20.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.3
8.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
36.2 / 33.2
43.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 74.3
69.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 31.7
50.0 / 50.0
Steals
9.3 / 8.2
14.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 18.0
11.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LGC
--
MER
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LGC
--
MER
Advantage
19-10-0
(65.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LGC
--
MER
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MER
LGC
MER
LGC
ML
55%
17-14
100%
2-0
71%
22-9
100%
2-0
ATS
58%
18-13
100%
2-0
71%
22-9
100%
2-0
TTL
61%
19-12
100%
2-0
100%
31-0
100%
2-0
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