AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
CARDINALS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
PLAT By 1-7 points
0.5%
PLAT By 8-14 points
0.1%
UVM By 1-7 points
3.3%
UVM By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Plattsburgh St
61
PLATTSBURGH ST
Vermont
86
VERMONT
Simulated Score
Plattsburgh St
48
PLATTSBURGH ST
Vermont
92
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
PLAT @ UVM
62 - 113
Nov 27, 2024
PLAT @ UVM
55 - 78
Nov 11, 2023
PLAT @ UVM
41 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+544.0% more
Vermont: 6.4
vs
Plattsburgh St: 1.0
Rebounding (L5)
+73.7% more
Vermont: 37.6
vs
Plattsburgh St: 21.7
Assists (L5)
+50.1% more
Vermont: 11.0
vs
Plattsburgh St: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+24.2%
Vermont: 67.9%
vs
Plattsburgh St: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PLAT Score
61.0
62
UVM Score
86.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 22.7
46.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.0 / 7.3
27.0 / 10.0
Blocks
6.4 / 1.0
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 31.3
56.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 43.7
71.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 21.7
52.0 / 23.0
Steals
3.6 / 8.0
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 13.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PLAT
--
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PLAT
--
UVM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PLAT
--
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
PLAT
UVM
PLAT
ML
56%
19-15
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
TTL
47%
16-18
0%
0-1
100%
34-0
100%
1-0