AI Model Win Probability
RED DEVILS
100%
LEOPARDS
0%
RED DEVILS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Lafayette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)
DIC By 1-7 points
0.0%
DIC By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAF By 1-7 points
0.4%
LAF By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Dickinson (PA)
54
DICKINSON (PA)
Lafayette
88
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Dickinson (PA)
55
DICKINSON (PA)
Lafayette
85
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leopards
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leopards (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
DIC @ LAF
44 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+107.4% more
Lafayette: 14.5
vs
Dickinson (PA): 7.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+30.4%
Lafayette: 66.4%
vs
Dickinson (PA): 36.0%
Steals (L5)
+22.5% more
Lafayette: 4.9
vs
Dickinson (PA): 4.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+22.0%
Lafayette: 46.0%
vs
Dickinson (PA): 24.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DIC Score
54.0
44
LAF Score
88.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 13.0
31.0 / 28.0
Assists
14.5 / 7.0
15.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 24.0
40.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 36.0
73.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 40.0
48.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.9 / 4.0
13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 21.0
13.0 / 27.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DIC
--
LAF
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DIC
--
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DIC
--
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
DIC
LAF
DIC
ML
53%
17-15
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
ATS
56%
18-14
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0