MISSISSIPPI UNIVERSITY FOR WOMEN
OWLSMUW
0-0 | Road
61
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
DELTA DEVILSMVSU
1-1 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
DELTA DEVILS
0%
OWLS
--
DELTA DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Mississippi Valley State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MVSU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MVSU)
MUW By 1-7 points
0.2%
MUW By 8-14 points
0.0%
MVSU By 1-7 points
1.7%
MVSU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Mississippi University For Women
45
MISSISSIPPI UNIVERSITY FOR WOMEN
Mississippi Valley State
73
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
Mississippi University For Women
42
MISSISSIPPI UNIVERSITY FOR WOMEN
Mississippi Valley State
78
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Delta Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Delta Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Delta Devils (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Delta Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
MUW @ MVSU
61 - 97
Nov 7, 2024
MUW @ MVSU
49 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+90.6% more
Mississippi Valley State: 3.1
vs
Mississippi University For Women: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+23.7% more
Mississippi Valley State: 10.2
vs
Mississippi University For Women: 8.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.2%
Mississippi Valley State: 34.8%
vs
Mississippi University For Women: 19.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Mississippi Valley State: 37.6%
vs
Mississippi University For Women: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MUW Score
45.0
61
MVSU Score
73.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 19.5
39.0 / 24.0
Assists
10.2 / 8.3
23.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
37.6 / 29.4
50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 70.8
67.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 31.8
41.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.3
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
18.1 / 21.5
15.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MUW
--
MVSU
Advantage
3-30-0
(9.1%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MUW
--
MVSU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MUW
--
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
MUW
MVSU
MUW
ML
91%
30-3
100%
1-0
75%
18-6
100%
1-0
ATS
82%
27-6
100%
1-0
75%
18-6
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
19-14
0%
0-1
100%
24-0
100%
1-0