NORTHWEST INDIAN
REDHAWKSNWIC
0-0 | Road
44
MONTANA STATE
BOBCATSMTST
1-1 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
MONTANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Montana State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MTST -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTST)
NWIC By 1-7 points
0.0%
NWIC By 8-14 points
0.0%
MTST By 1-7 points
0.1%
MTST By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Northwest Indian
59
NORTHWEST INDIAN
Montana State
96
MONTANA STATE
Simulated Score
Northwest Indian
48
NORTHWEST INDIAN
Montana State
98
MONTANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
NWIC @ MTST
44 - 114
Nov 11, 2024
NWIC @ MTST
35 - 93
Nov 6, 2023
NWIC @ MTST
63 - 103
Dec 17, 2022
NWIC @ MTST
59 - 144
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+203.2% more
Montana State: 3.8
vs
Northwest Indian: 1.3
Assists (L5)
+30.7% more
Montana State: 11.5
vs
Northwest Indian: 8.8
Steals (L5)
+25.1% more
Montana State: 5.0
vs
Northwest Indian: 4.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+18.7%
Montana State: 47.7%
vs
Northwest Indian: 29.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NWIC Score
59.0
44
MTST Score
96.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 22.3
52.0 / 8.0
Assists
11.5 / 8.8
24.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.3
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 29.0
65.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 65.5
71.0 / 25.0
Rebounding
27.5 / 25.6
41.0 / 17.0
Steals
5.0 / 4.0
15.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 18.2
11.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NWIC
--
MTST
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.5
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NWIC
--
MTST
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.5
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NWIC
--
MTST
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTST
NWIC
MTST
NWIC
ML
52%
16-15
100%
3-0
67%
20-10
100%
3-0
ATS
52%
16-15
100%
3-0
67%
20-10
100%
3-0
TTL
65%
20-11
0%
0-3
100%
30-0
100%
3-0
