OTTAWA (AZ)
SPIRITOUAZ
0-0 | Road
39
MONTANA
GRIZZLIESMONT
2-0 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
SPIRIT
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
SPIRIT
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
OTTAWA (AZ)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Ottawa (AZ))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OUAZ -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OUAZ)
OUAZ By 1-7 points
12.2%
OUAZ By 8-14 points
23.0%
MONT By 1-7 points
3.3%
MONT By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa (AZ)
97
OTTAWA (AZ)
Montana
80
MONTANA
Simulated Score
Ottawa (AZ)
59
OTTAWA (AZ)
Montana
88
MONTANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spirit
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spirit (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
OUAZ @ MONT
39 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+44.4% more
Ottawa (AZ): 16.7
vs
Montana: 9.3
Blocks (L5)
+21.9% more
Ottawa (AZ): 2.0
vs
Montana: 1.5
Assists (L5)
+33.5% more
Montana: 13.8
vs
Ottawa (AZ): 10.3
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
Montana: 6.8
vs
Ottawa (AZ): 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OUAZ Score
97.0
39
MONT Score
80.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 26.0
29.0 / 15.0
Assists
13.8 / 10.3
11.0 / 5.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.0
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 35.9
44.0 / 23.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 76.2
63.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
38.9 / 33.9
55.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.8 / 5.8
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 16.7
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OUAZ
--
MONT
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OUAZ
--
MONT
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OUAZ
--
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONT
OUAZ
MONT
OUAZ
ML
39%
13-20
0%
0-1
73%
24-9
100%
1-0
ATS
55%
18-15
0%
0-1
73%
24-9
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13-1
0%
0-1
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
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