AI Model Win Probability
NITTANY LIONS
0%
GREYHOUNDS
100%
NITTANY LIONS
--
GREYHOUNDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
PENN ST ABINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Penn St Abington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PSAB -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PSAB)
PSAB By 1-7 points
0.0%
PSAB By 8-14 points
0.0%
L-MD By 1-7 points
0.0%
L-MD By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Penn St Abington
93
PENN ST ABINGTON
Loyola Maryland
40
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Penn St Abington
52
PENN ST ABINGTON
Loyola Maryland
88
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nittany Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Greyhounds
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nittany Lions (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Greyhounds (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
PSAB @ L-MD
60 - 96
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PSAB Score
93.0
60
L-MD Score
40.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 0.0
50.0 / 13.0
Assists
11.0 / 0.0
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 0.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 0.0
46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 0.0
77.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 0.0
57.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.7 / 0.0
2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 0.0
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PSAB
--
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PSAB
--
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PSAB
--
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
PSAB
L-MD
PSAB
ML
53%
17-15
0%
0-1
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
ATS
56%
18-14
0%
0-1
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
TTL
44%
14-18
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0