Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Patriots @ Mountain Hawks UVF @ LEH

VALLEY FORGE

PATRIOTSUVF

0-0  |  Road

52
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Stabler Arena
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

1-1  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
PATRIOTS
0%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
PATRIOTS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
VALLEY FORGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Valley Forge)
PatriotsUVF (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Patriots Cover

100.0%

Mountain Hawks Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVF -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVF)

UVF By 1-7 points

0.0%

UVF By 8-14 points

0.4%

LEH By 1-7 points

0.0%

LEH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
123
VALLEY FORGE
82
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
48
VALLEY FORGE
95
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Patriots Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountain Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Patriots (+15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim Mountain Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 205.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 UVF @ LEH 52 - 91
Nov 20, 2024 UVF @ LEH 53 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.5% more
Valley Forge: 18.5 vs Lehigh: 13.2
Steals (L5) +8.7% more
Valley Forge: 6.3 vs Lehigh: 5.8
Assists (L5) +119.9% more
Lehigh: 12.0 vs Valley Forge: 5.4
Rebounding (L5) +32.8% more
Lehigh: 32.5 vs Valley Forge: 24.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVF Score 123.0 52
LEH Score 82.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 25.7 32.0 / 14.0
Assists 12.0 / 5.4 22.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.3 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 28.9 51.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 56.9 72.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 24.4 50.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.3 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 18.5 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVF
--
LEH Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVF
--
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UVF
--
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
UVF
LEH
UVF
ML
56% 19-15
0% 0-1
68% 23-11
100% 1-0
ATS
56% 19-15
0% 0-1
68% 23-11
100% 1-0
TTL
76% 26-8
0% 0-1
100% 34-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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