AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
MONARCHS
100%
WILDCATS
--
MONARCHS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ODU +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)
RDPH By 1-7 points
24.3%
RDPH By 8-14 points
26.8%
ODU By 1-7 points
12.2%
ODU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Randolph College
93
RANDOLPH COLLEGE
Old Dominion
84
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
Randolph College
42
RANDOLPH COLLEGE
Old Dominion
95
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Monarchs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Monarchs (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Monarchs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
RDPH @ ODU
53 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.1% more
Randolph College: 11.9
vs
Old Dominion: 10.9
Turnovers (L5)
+8.2% more
Randolph College: 14.7
vs
Old Dominion: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+57.1% more
Old Dominion: 5.0
vs
Randolph College: 3.2
Blocks (L5)
+49.0% more
Old Dominion: 4.4
vs
Randolph College: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RDPH Score
93.0
53
ODU Score
84.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 32.1
20.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.9 / 11.9
19.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.0
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 36.9
51.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 62.2
75.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 29.0
55.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.0 / 3.2
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 14.7
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RDPH
--
ODU
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RDPH
--
ODU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RDPH
--
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
RDPH
ODU
RDPH
ML
52%
17-16
0%
0-1
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
TTL
70%
23-10
0%
0-1
100%
33-0
100%
1-0