Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Firebirds @ Bison UDC @ HOW

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

FIREBIRDSUDC

0-0  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

1-1  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
FIREBIRDS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
FIREBIRDS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (District Of Columbia)
FirebirdsUDC (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Firebirds Cover

100.0%

Bison Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UDC -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UDC)

UDC By 1-7 points

0.0%

UDC By 8-14 points

0.1%

HOW By 1-7 points

0.0%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
109
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
65
HOWARD
Simulated Score
65
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
88
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Firebirds Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Firebirds (+15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Win
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 UDC @ HOW 71 - 103
Nov 9, 2022 UDC @ HOW 74 - 87
Nov 9, 2021 UDC @ HOW 59 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +44.8% more
District Of Columbia: 9.4 vs Howard: 5.2
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
District Of Columbia: 20.1 vs Howard: 14.7
Blocks (L5) +100.0% more
Howard: 4.2 vs District Of Columbia: 2.1
Assists (L5) +24.4% more
Howard: 14.2 vs District Of Columbia: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UDC Score 109.0 71
HOW Score 65.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 28.8 53.0 / 15.0
Assists 14.2 / 11.4 23.0 / 5.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.1 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.1 / 38.1 60.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 70.2 74.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 31.2 36.0 / 22.0
Steals 5.2 / 9.4 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 20.1 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UDC
--
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UDC
--
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UDC
--
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
UDC
HOW
UDC
ML
59% 20-14
0% 0-1
71% 22-9
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 20-14
0% 0-1
71% 22-9
100% 1-0
TTL
62% 21-13
100% 1-0
100% 31-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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