AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
BUCCANEERS
100%
EAGLES
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
TOCCOA FALLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Toccoa Falls)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TF -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TF)
TF By 1-7 points
0.0%
TF By 8-14 points
0.0%
CHSO By 1-7 points
0.0%
CHSO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Toccoa Falls
120
TOCCOA FALLS
Charleston Southern
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Toccoa Falls
52
TOCCOA FALLS
Charleston Southern
95
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o161.5
Win
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
TF @ CHSO
71 - 106
Nov 6, 2023
TF @ CHSO
59 - 94
Nov 7, 2022
TF @ CHSO
52 - 83
Feb 7, 2022
TF @ CHSO
60 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.0% more
Toccoa Falls: 6.7
vs
Charleston Southern: 4.7
Blocks (L5)
+9.3% more
Toccoa Falls: 1.8
vs
Charleston Southern: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+73.3% more
Charleston Southern: 12.6
vs
Toccoa Falls: 7.2
Rebounding (L5)
+38.7% more
Charleston Southern: 36.3
vs
Toccoa Falls: 26.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TF Score
120.0
71
CHSO Score
72.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 27.2
36.0 / 11.0
Assists
12.6 / 7.2
25.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.7 / 1.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.2 / 38.9
51.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 70.1
50.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 26.2
50.0 / 44.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.7
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 15.3
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TF
--
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TF
--
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TF
--
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
TF
CHSO
TF
ML
43%
13-17
33%
1-2
67%
20-10
100%
3-0
ATS
50%
15-15
33%
1-2
68%
21-10
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
15-15
100%
3-0
100%
31-0
100%
3-0