AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
COLONELS
100%
EAGLES
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Midway University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIDW -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIDW)
MIDW By 1-7 points
0.0%
MIDW By 8-14 points
0.1%
EKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Midway University
83
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
Eastern Kentucky
37
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Midway University
61
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
Eastern Kentucky
92
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (+15.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
MIDW @ EKU
60 - 122
Dec 15, 2021
MIDW @ EKU
67 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.5% more
Midway University: 2.3
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 1.7
Turnovers (L5)
+22.3% more
Midway University: 10.9
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 8.5
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Midway University: 14.4
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 11.5
Steals (L5)
+32.7% more
Eastern Kentucky: 8.0
vs
Midway University: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIDW Score
83.0
60
EKU Score
37.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 32.1
41.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.5 / 14.4
21.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.7 / 2.3
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 41.1
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 63.3
75.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 28.6
51.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.1
16.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 10.9
10.0 / 28.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIDW
--
EKU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIDW
--
EKU
Advantage
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MIDW
--
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
MIDW
EKU
MIDW
ML
44%
14-18
75%
3-1
69%
22-10
100%
4-0
ATS
56%
18-14
75%
3-1
69%
22-10
100%
4-0
TTL
53%
17-15
25%
1-3
100%
32-0
100%
4-0