CALUMET
CRIMSON WAVECSJ
0-0 | Road
50
EVANSVILLE
PURPLE ACESEVAN
1-1 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON WAVE
0%
PURPLE ACES
100%
CRIMSON WAVE
--
PURPLE ACES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
CALUMET
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Calumet)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSJ -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSJ)
CSJ By 1-7 points
0.1%
CSJ By 8-14 points
0.6%
EVAN By 1-7 points
0.0%
EVAN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Calumet
93
CALUMET
Evansville
54
EVANSVILLE
Simulated Score
Calumet
52
CALUMET
Evansville
95
EVANSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crimson Wave
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Aces
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crimson Wave (+27.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Purple Aces (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
CSJ @ EVAN
50 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+34.7% more
Calumet: 18.5
vs
Evansville: 12.1
Steals (L5)
+30.7% more
Calumet: 6.2
vs
Evansville: 4.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Calumet: 29.5%
vs
Evansville: 24.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+15.6% more
Evansville: 33.9
vs
Calumet: 29.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSJ Score
93.0
50
EVAN Score
54.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.4 / 29.5
44.0 / 36.0
Assists
10.4 / 10.0
24.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
38.3 / 33.2
49.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 63.8
88.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 29.3
49.0 / 25.0
Steals
4.3 / 6.2
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 18.5
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSJ
--
EVAN
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSJ
--
EVAN
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CSJ
--
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EVAN
CSJ
EVAN
CSJ
ML
56%
18-14
50%
1-1
62%
20-12
100%
2-0
ATS
66%
21-11
50%
1-1
62%
20-12
100%
2-0
TTL
62%
20-12
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0
