JARVIS CHRISTIAN
BULLDOGSJVCU
0-0 | Road
60
INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
1-1 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
CARDINALS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
JARVIS CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Jarvis Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JVCU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JVCU)
JVCU By 1-7 points
0.1%
JVCU By 8-14 points
0.8%
UIW By 1-7 points
0.0%
UIW By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Jarvis Christian
88
JARVIS CHRISTIAN
Incarnate Word
50
INCARNATE WORD
Simulated Score
Jarvis Christian
59
JARVIS CHRISTIAN
Incarnate Word
88
INCARNATE WORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+27.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
JVCU @ UIW
60 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+61.2% more
Jarvis Christian: 21.4
vs
Incarnate Word: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Jarvis Christian: 70.7%
vs
Incarnate Word: 67.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.7%
Incarnate Word: 43.6%
vs
Jarvis Christian: 33.9%
Blocks (L5)
+8.7% more
Incarnate Word: 2.3
vs
Jarvis Christian: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JVCU Score
88.0
60
UIW Score
50.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 25.1
45.0 / 31.0
Assists
9.6 / 9.3
26.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.1
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 33.9
52.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
67.7 / 70.7
82.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
30.0 / 29.7
51.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.5
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 21.4
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JVCU
--
UIW
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JVCU
--
UIW
Advantage
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JVCU
--
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIW
JVCU
UIW
JVCU
ML
47%
14-16
50%
1-1
76%
22-7
100%
2-0
ATS
53%
16-14
50%
1-1
77%
23-7
100%
2-0
TTL
60%
18-12
50%
1-1
100%
30-0
100%
2-0
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