MIT
ENGINEERSMIT
0-0 | Road
50
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
1-0 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
ENGINEERS
0%
CRIMSON
100%
ENGINEERS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-59.0
MIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +59.0 points (MIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIT -59.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIT)
MIT By 1-7 points
0.0%
MIT By 8-14 points
0.0%
HARV By 1-7 points
0.0%
HARV By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
MIT
108
MIT
Harvard
49
HARVARD
Simulated Score
MIT
61
MIT
Harvard
92
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Engineers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Engineers (+27.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -59.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
MIT @ HARV
50 - 79
Nov 20, 2021
MIT @ HARV
52 - 98
Nov 5, 2019
MIT @ HARV
27 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+60.5% more
MIT: 26.3
vs
Harvard: 10.4
Steals (L5)
+17.1% more
MIT: 10.7
vs
Harvard: 8.9
Blocks (L5)
+11.2% more
MIT: 3.7
vs
Harvard: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+69.5% more
Harvard: 13.6
vs
MIT: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIT Score
108.0
50
HARV Score
49.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 14.7
33.0 / 11.0
Assists
13.6 / 8.0
10.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.7
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 28.0
48.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
83.0 / 48.7
67.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 24.7
42.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.9 / 10.7
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 26.3
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIT
--
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIT
--
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MIT
--
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
MIT
HARV
MIT
ML
45%
13-16
0%
0-1
52%
15-14
100%
1-0
ATS
45%
13-16
0%
0-1
52%
15-14
100%
1-0
TTL
41%
12-17
0%
0-1
100%
29-0
100%
1-0
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