Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Rams MSM @ FOR

MOUNT SAINT MARY (NY)

KNIGHTSMSM

0-0  |  Road

37
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:30 PM ET
Rose Hill Gym
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

1-1  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
KNIGHTS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-60.0
MOUNT SAINT MARY (NY)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +60.0 points (Mount Saint Mary (NY))
KnightsMSM (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

100.0%

Rams Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MSM -60.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MSM)

MSM By 1-7 points

0.0%

MSM By 8-14 points

0.0%

FOR By 1-7 points

0.0%

FOR By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
111
MOUNT SAINT MARY (NY)
51
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
52
MOUNT SAINT MARY (NY)
88
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knights (+27.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -60.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 MSM @ FOR 37 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.0% more
Mount Saint Mary (NY): 15.7 vs Fordham: 9.7
Steals (L5) +8.1% more
Mount Saint Mary (NY): 6.3 vs Fordham: 5.8
Blocks (L5) +105.0% more
Fordham: 4.1 vs Mount Saint Mary (NY): 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +72.2% more
Fordham: 39.0 vs Mount Saint Mary (NY): 22.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MSM Score 111.0 37
FOR Score 51.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 29.3 22.0 / 12.0
Assists 11.3 / 10.3 28.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.0 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.6 / 32.7 56.0 / 23.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 63.0 80.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 22.7 62.0 / 15.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.3 17.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 15.7 16.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MSM
--
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MSM
--
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MSM
--
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
MSM
FOR
MSM
ML
59% 19-13
0% 0-1
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
ATS
59% 19-13
0% 0-1
59% 19-13
100% 1-0
TTL
59% 19-13
0% 0-1
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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