JUSTICE COLLEGE
LIONSJUSC
0-0 | Road
55
NORTHERN ARIZONA
LUMBERJACKSNAU
1-1 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
LUMBERJACKS
100%
LIONS
--
LUMBERJACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
JUSTICE COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Justice College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JUSC -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JUSC)
JUSC By 1-7 points
0.0%
JUSC By 8-14 points
0.3%
NAU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NAU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Justice College
96
JUSTICE COLLEGE
Northern Arizona
54
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Justice College
55
JUSTICE COLLEGE
Northern Arizona
92
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lumberjacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+27.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim
Lumberjacks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
JUSC @ NAU
55 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+76.7% more
Justice College: 3.0
vs
Northern Arizona: 0.7
Turnovers (L5)
+50.2% more
Justice College: 17.0
vs
Northern Arizona: 8.5
Assists (L5)
+58.6% more
Northern Arizona: 12.7
vs
Justice College: 8.0
Steals (L5)
+33.0% more
Northern Arizona: 5.3
vs
Justice College: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JUSC Score
96.0
55
NAU Score
54.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 18.0
27.0 / 15.0
Assists
12.7 / 8.0
18.0 / 5.0
Blocks
0.7 / 3.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 33.0
52.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
59.5 / 52.0
46.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 28.0
47.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.3 / 4.0
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 17.0
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JUSC
--
NAU
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JUSC
--
NAU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JUSC
--
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAU
JUSC
NAU
JUSC
ML
62%
20-12
67%
2-1
81%
26-6
100%
3-0
ATS
62%
20-12
67%
2-1
81%
26-6
100%
3-0
TTL
66%
21-11
67%
2-1
100%
32-0
100%
3-0
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