KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
1-1 | Road
78
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
2-0 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
0%
SALUKIS
100%
ROOS
--
SALUKIS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIU +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)
KC By 1-7 points
25.3%
KC By 8-14 points
26.2%
SIU By 1-7 points
13.7%
SIU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
88
KANSAS CITY
Southern Illinois
80
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Kansas City
63
KANSAS CITY
Southern Illinois
72
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Roos
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Salukis
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Salukis (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Salukis (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
KC @ SIU
78 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.3%
Kansas City: 71.6%
vs
Southern Illinois: 61.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Kansas City: 34.7%
vs
Southern Illinois: 32.5%
Blocks (L5)
+50.7% more
Southern Illinois: 4.4
vs
Kansas City: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+38.1% more
Southern Illinois: 6.7
vs
Kansas City: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
88.0
78
SIU Score
80.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 34.7
38.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.6 / 12.4
18.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.9
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 41.9
66.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
61.3 / 71.6
62.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 36.4
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.7 / 4.8
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 11.8
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
SIU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
KC
SIU
KC
ML
53%
17-15
63%
19-11
47%
15-17
67%
20-10
ATS
56%
18-14
67%
20-10
47%
15-17
67%
20-10
TTL
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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