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UIC

FLAMESUIC

1-1  |  Road

73
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Gill Coliseum
View Odds Details →

OREGON STATE

BEAVERSORST

2-0  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
BEAVERS
100%
FLAMES --
BEAVERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+25.0
OREGON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlamesUIC (-3.5) 0 BeaversORST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

0.6%

Beavers Cover

99.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORST +25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORST)

UIC By 1-7 points

3.3%

UIC By 8-14 points

10.7%

ORST By 1-7 points

0.5%

ORST By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
83
UIC
58
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
65
UIC
72
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Beavers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Beavers (+27.5) Win
Proj Spread: +25.0
D
Sim Beavers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 UIC @ ORST 73 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +74.0% more
UIC: 4.9 vs Oregon State: 1.3
Steals (L5) +27.7% more
UIC: 6.7 vs Oregon State: 4.8
Turnovers (L5) +18.2% more
UIC: 13.2 vs Oregon State: 10.8
Assists (L5) +14.1% more
UIC: 14.7 vs Oregon State: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIC Score 83.0 73
ORST Score 58.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 34.2 30.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.6 / 14.7 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.3 / 4.9 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 40.5 47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 73.7 80.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 37.9 38.0 / 23.0
Steals 4.8 / 6.7 9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.2 21.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
ORST Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
ORST Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
UIC
ORST
UIC
ML
45% 15-18
57% 20-15
59% 19-13
44% 15-19
ATS
48% 16-17
54% 19-16
59% 19-13
44% 15-19
TTL
55% 18-15
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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