JESSUP UNIVERSITY
WARRIORSJSP
0-0 | Road
76
SACRAMENTO STATE
HORNETSSAC
2-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
HORNETS
100%
WARRIORS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
SACRAMENTO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
JSP By 1-7 points
24.3%
JSP By 8-14 points
26.8%
SAC By 1-7 points
12.2%
SAC By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Jessup University
67
JESSUP UNIVERSITY
Sacramento State
58
SACRAMENTO STATE
Simulated Score
Jessup University
57
JESSUP UNIVERSITY
Sacramento State
88
SACRAMENTO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
JSP @ SAC
76 - 86
Nov 9, 2021
JSP @ SAC
59 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.5% more
Jessup University: 16.3
vs
Sacramento State: 12.2
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
Jessup University: 7.3
vs
Sacramento State: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+83.2% more
Sacramento State: 4.3
vs
Jessup University: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+13.4% more
Sacramento State: 14.6
vs
Jessup University: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JSP Score
67.0
76
SAC Score
58.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 27.9
45.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.6 / 12.9
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.3
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 34.2
45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 65.0
70.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 31.3
43.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.3
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 16.3
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JSP
--
SAC
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JSP
--
SAC
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JSP
--
SAC
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
JSP
SAC
JSP
ML
57%
17-13
0%
0-1
87%
26-4
100%
1-0
ATS
73%
22-8
100%
1-0
87%
27-4
100%
1-0
TTL
60%
18-12
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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