Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Braves @ Golden Gophers ALCN @ MINN

ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

0-3  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 12:00 PM ET
Williams Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

2-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
BRAVES --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
ALCORN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Alcorn State)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

96.4%

Golden Gophers Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ALCN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALCN)

ALCN By 1-7 points

10.7%

ALCN By 8-14 points

21.6%

MINN By 1-7 points

2.7%

MINN By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
64
ALCORN STATE
46
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
61
ALCORN STATE
87
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Braves (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 ALCN @ MINN 50 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +19.3% more
Alcorn State: 15.6 vs Minnesota: 12.6
Steals (L5) +8.1% more
Alcorn State: 7.6 vs Minnesota: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
Alcorn State: 71.8% vs Minnesota: 67.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Alcorn State: 34.1% vs Minnesota: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 64.0 50
MINN Score 46.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 34.1 31.0 / 38.0
Assists 17.1 / 11.8 20.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.4 / 2.6 4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 45.8 48.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 67.9 / 71.8 86.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 38.7 / 31.8 50.0 / 24.0
Steals 7.0 / 7.6 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 15.6 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
MINN Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
ALCN
MINN
ALCN
ML
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
71% 22-9
75% 18-6
ATS
55% 18-15
68% 21-10-1
71% 22-9
75% 18-6
TTL
52% 17-16
47% 15-17
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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