Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Lakers PSNK @ MERC

PENN STATE-NEW KENSINGTON

LIONSPSNK

0-0  |  Road

43
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Mercyhurst Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

MERCYHURST

LAKERSMERC

2-1  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
LIONS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-49.0
MERCYHURST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +49.0 points (Mercyhurst)
LionsPSNK (-3.5) 0 LakersMERC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

0.0%

Lakers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MERC -49.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MERC)

PSNK By 1-7 points

0.0%

PSNK By 8-14 points

0.0%

MERC By 1-7 points

0.0%

MERC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
43
PENN STATE-NEW KENSINGTON
92
MERCYHURST
Simulated Score
48
PENN STATE-NEW KENSINGTON
95
MERCYHURST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 PSNK @ MERC 43 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.3% more
Mercyhurst: 3.9 vs Penn State-New Kensington: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +17.5% more
Mercyhurst: 32.1 vs Penn State-New Kensington: 27.3
Assists (L5) +8.7% more
Mercyhurst: 14.5 vs Penn State-New Kensington: 13.3
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Mercyhurst: 43.5% vs Penn State-New Kensington: 38.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PSNK Score 43.0 43
MERC Score 92.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 31.3 39.0 / 24.0
Assists 14.5 / 13.3 30.0 / 4.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.0 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 38.3 60.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 79.5 / 79.7 40.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 27.3 42.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.9 / 9.3 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 18.0 13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PSNK
--
MERC Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PSNK
--
MERC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PSNK
--
MERC
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MERC
PSNK
MERC
PSNK
ML
59% 20-14
100% 1-0
79% 26-7
100% 1-0
ATS
62% 21-13
100% 1-0
79% 26-7
100% 1-0
TTL
53% 18-16
100% 1-0
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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