Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Badgers @ Jaguars SPRHILL @ USA

SPRING HILL

BADGERSSPRHILL

0-0  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 4:00 PM ET
Mitchell Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH ALABAMA

JAGUARSUSA

3-0  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
📊
JAGUARS
0%
BADGERS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SOUTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (South Alabama)
BadgersSPRHILL (-3.5) 0 JaguarsUSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Badgers Cover

24.2%

Jaguars Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USA)

SPRHILL By 1-7 points

15.3%

SPRHILL By 8-14 points

5.8%

USA By 1-7 points

26.2%

USA By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SPRING HILL
67
SOUTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
56
SPRING HILL
88
SOUTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jaguars (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 SPRHILL @ USA 50 - 99
Nov 18, 2024 SPRHILL @ USA 61 - 95
Dec 9, 2023 SPRHILL @ USA 74 - 91
Dec 19, 2022 SPRHILL @ USA 53 - 82
Nov 9, 2021 SPRHILL @ USA 41 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +37.0% more
South Alabama: 8.0 vs Spring Hill: 5.9
Assists (L5) +25.4% more
South Alabama: 12.3 vs Spring Hill: 9.8
Field Goal % (L5) +12.2%
South Alabama: 49.6% vs Spring Hill: 37.3%
Blocks (L5) +66.6% more
Spring Hill: 3.3 vs South Alabama: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPRHILL Score 60.0 50
USA Score 67.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 32.8 42.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.3 / 9.8 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.1 / 3.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 37.3 50.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 61.5 / 84.2 64.0 / 33.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 34.1 54.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.0 / 5.9 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 20.6 5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPRHILL
--
USA Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPRHILL
--
USA Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SPRHILL
--
USA
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USA
SPRHILL
USA
SPRHILL
ML
47% 15-17
100% 1-0
57% 17-13
100% 1-0
ATS
53% 17-15
100% 1-0
57% 17-13
100% 1-0
TTL
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
100% 30-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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